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Red128
53724.3
155940.8
408547.7
Blue74
446720.8
14132.1
377716.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10756015020012874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.3
44.145.4
Auto1.8
Teleop45.9
End0.0
red by 15.6
141
#7
32.10.4
32.532.9
Auto1.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
40.81.3
36.237.5
Auto0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 20.0
4467
#13
20.80.4
13.814.2
Auto-1.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
537
#29
24.31.3
22.223.4
Auto0.6
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 7.8
3777
#24
16.50.6
19.520.1
Auto1.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0