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Red45
103826.3
332410.8
452125.3
Blue76
176425.4
504014.0
14433.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65622040801001204576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#16
26.31.4
27.225.8
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 7.0
144
#19
33.30.5
27.628.1
Auto1.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
4521
#15
25.31.3
26.625.4
Auto0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Level
1764
#26
25.40.5
24.925.4
Auto0.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
3324
#45
10.81.0
11.810.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5040
#42
14.00.5
13.514.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.7
End0.0