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Red98
217210.8
101429.6
53724.3
Blue126
266514.6
408547.7
23344.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47101015020098126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#17
29.62.0
26.328.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 18.1
47.71.8
44.245.9
Auto1.8
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
537
#29
24.32.0
22.224.3
Auto0.6
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 19.8
233
#5
44.11.8
39.441.2
Auto6.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Third
2172
#46
10.82.0
8.810.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 3.7
2665
#38
14.61.8
12.814.6
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0