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Red52
493521.1
300017.8
377716.5
Blue15
564411.0
42837.3
62016.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5834020801001201405215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#32
21.10.2
21.321.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 4.3
620
#30
16.81.2
18.016.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
3000
#22
17.80.3
18.117.8
Auto0.4
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 6.9
5644
#41
11.01.5
12.511.0
Auto-1.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
3777
#24
16.50.3
16.816.5
Auto1.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 9.2
4283
#47
7.31.5
8.87.3
Auto0.5
Teleop6.8
End0.0