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Red100
12043.1
446720.8
103826.3
Blue60
402836.8
124923.3
437110.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826820406010012014016010060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#2
43.10.9
39.039.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop43.1
End0.0
red by 6.3
4028
#20
36.80.6
37.837.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Second
1038
#16
26.31.0
25.826.9
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 3.0
1249
#31
23.30.6
23.923.3
Auto0.8
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Third
4467
#13
20.80.9
18.119.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 10.2
4371
#43
10.60.6
11.210.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0