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Red172
198679.6
319327.8
421327.1
Blue128
198536.2
208131.6
55414.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128590100150200250172128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.62.5
74.276.7
Auto9.0
Teleop70.6
End0.0
red by 43.4
1985
#11
36.22.8
32.134.9
Auto0.2
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
3193
#21
27.82.5
23.526.0
Auto2.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 3.8
2081
#25
31.62.8
28.931.6
Auto0.6
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
27.12.5
24.627.1
Auto0.9
Teleop26.2
End0.0
red by 12.5
554
#39
14.63.4
11.615.0
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0