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Red90
414539.1
176425.4
457529.3
Blue89
566719.1
33725.3
493030.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92640501509089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#10
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto0.5
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 8.8
4930
#27
30.30.9
28.129.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
4575
#35
29.30.0
26.426.4
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 4.0
337
#36
25.30.9
24.825.7
Auto0.4
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Third
1764
#26
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 6.3
5667
#23
19.10.9
18.219.1
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0