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Red127
408547.7
319327.8
446720.8
Blue99
411516.8
14433.3
428419.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9452015020012799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.8
45.947.8
Auto1.8
Teleop45.9
End0.0
red by 14.5
144
#19
33.31.9
28.130.1
Auto1.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
3193
#21
27.81.8
26.027.8
Auto2.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 8.0
4284
#37
19.82.2
17.719.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
4467
#13
20.81.8
19.020.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 4.0
4115
#34
16.82.4
14.416.8
Auto0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0