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Red18
201019.9
217213.3
460110.8
Blue43
3067.3
69434.6
91023.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19600501001501843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#26
19.90.7
13.512.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 14.7
694
#18
34.60.8
32.331.4
Auto0.7
Teleop33.9
End0.0
Second
2172
#44
13.30.7
8.57.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 10.4
910
#11
23.70.6
15.915.3
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4601
#39
10.80.5
4.23.7
Auto0.6
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 3.5
306
#33
7.30.8
7.46.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.7
End0.0