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Red40
178718.4
67714.4
15625.8
Blue35
170815.7
29112.6
205112.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310204060801001204035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#15
25.80.3
20.119.8
Auto1.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 10.1
1708
#41
15.70.0
16.416.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
1787
#31
18.40.4
12.812.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 5.8
291
#49
12.60.0
10.110.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
677
#37
14.40.4
12.211.8
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 2.4
2051
#24
12.00.0
8.28.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0