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Red82
499123.7
350415.5
265530.6
Blue146
408539.6
159245.9
4850.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5589010015020082146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.3
22.824.1
Auto0.9
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 19.4
48
#4
50.03.9
37.741.6
Auto0.6
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Second
4991
#21
23.71.3
21.322.6
Auto0.4
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 22.2
45.92.9
31.334.2
Auto5.0
Teleop40.9
End0.0
Third
3504
#47
15.51.3
18.619.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 24.2
39.64.9
18.423.3
Auto1.4
Teleop38.2
End0.0