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Red35
63922.5
426944.9
359111.5
Blue64
205112.0
351120.2
69434.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57522040801003564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.91.4
23.522.0
Auto0.3
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 10.2
694
#18
34.60.6
31.432.0
Auto0.7
Teleop33.9
End0.0
Second
639
#23
22.51.2
26.024.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 2.2
3511
#13
20.20.6
15.215.8
Auto0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
3591
#43
11.51.3
8.87.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2051
#24
12.00.6
8.28.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0