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Red85
416510.9
301024.9
414535.0
Blue67
170815.7
91023.7
478016.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284501001502008567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.04.4
12.817.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 11.3
910
#11
23.71.1
15.316.4
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
3010
#17
24.94.4
12.717.1
Auto0.0
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 8.9
4780
#25
16.11.9
13.315.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4165
#50
10.94.4
6.110.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 4.9
1708
#41
15.71.3
15.616.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0