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Red15
29112.6
51468.8
67714.4
Blue45
69528.6
159012.5
460110.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3625060801001545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
677
#37
14.41.7
13.411.7
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 14.2
695
#16
28.61.4
14.015.4
Auto0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
291
#49
12.61.2
9.38.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 0.2
1590
#40
12.51.4
10.011.5
Auto0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5146
#45
8.81.7
13.011.3
Auto1.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4601
#39
10.81.0
3.74.7
Auto0.6
Teleop10.2
End0.0