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Red89
461118.5
260316.6
265530.6
Blue115
201019.9
15625.8
350415.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46452040608010089115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.62.4
23.626.0
Auto0.9
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 4.8
156
#15
25.83.7
18.221.8
Auto1.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
4611
#34
18.53.6
10.714.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2010
#26
19.95.5
12.117.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
2603
#30
16.62.4
11.413.8
Auto1.6
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 1.2
3504
#47
15.53.7
18.221.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0