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Red2
45113.9
131718.7
319320.3
Blue98
52497.9
264115.7
426944.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41400206080298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#54
20.31.7
15.013.3
Auto0.9
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 24.5
44.93.1
22.025.1
Auto0.3
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Second
1317
#35
18.71.7
13.011.3
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 3.0
2641
#32
15.72.8
14.517.3
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
451
#27
13.91.1
12.611.5
Auto0.3
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 6.0
5249
#42
7.94.6
6.310.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.2
End0.0