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Red102
131718.7
159245.9
460110.8
Blue46
12023.2
15625.8
541811.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48482040608010010246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.93.0
32.435.3
Auto5.0
Teleop40.9
End0.0
red by 20.1
156
#15
25.80.3
21.821.6
Auto1.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
1317
#35
18.75.0
11.316.3
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 4.6
120
#19
23.20.3
20.019.7
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
4601
#39
10.83.0
4.77.7
Auto0.6
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5418
#38
11.80.5
9.89.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0