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Qual 312015 Buckeye Regional
Red127
408539.6
91023.7
541340.4
Blue127
178718.4
69528.6
326030.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70450100150127127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#3
40.42.9
26.1→29.0
Auto0.5
Teleop39.9
End0.0
red by 9.6
3260
#8
30.83.8
20.9→24.7
Auto0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
4085
#6
39.64.8
26.4→31.2
Auto1.4
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 11.0
695
#16
28.66.4
15.4→21.8
Auto0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
910
#11
23.72.9
16.4→19.3
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 5.3
1787
#31
18.46.4
14.3→20.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0