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Red82
6321.2
67714.4
414535.0
Blue142
265530.6
93021.0
426944.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4168010015020082142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.02.9
17.320.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.0
End0.0
blue by 9.8
44.93.8
25.128.9
Auto0.3
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Second
63
#29
21.21.8
18.119.8
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 9.4
30.63.8
26.029.8
Auto0.9
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Third
677
#37
14.42.9
11.714.6
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 6.6
930
#14
21.03.8
15.219.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0