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Red27
335610.5
205112.0
478016.1
Blue1
50777.2
350415.5
411912.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23400100150200271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4780
#25
16.10.0
15.215.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 0.6
3504
#47
15.51.3
21.920.6
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Second
2051
#24
12.00.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4119
#46
12.42.2
8.46.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
3356
#51
10.50.0
4.74.7
Auto0.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 3.3
5077
#55
7.22.2
8.56.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.6
End0.0