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Red96
198731.6
69434.6
15625.8
Blue9
416510.9
178718.4
34844.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7728050100150969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#18
34.61.2
30.131.3
Auto0.7
Teleop33.9
End0.0
red by 16.2
1787
#31
18.42.3
20.718.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
1987
#12
31.61.2
20.721.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 20.8
4165
#50
10.92.3
10.68.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
156
#15
25.81.2
21.622.7
Auto1.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 21.0
3484
#56
4.92.3
5.22.9
Auto1.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0