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Red51
69434.6
541811.8
260316.6
Blue18
335610.5
51468.8
91023.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572902040801001201401605118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#18
34.60.3
32.532.3
Auto0.7
Teleop33.9
End0.0
red by 10.9
910
#11
23.70.8
16.715.9
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
2603
#30
16.60.2
13.413.2
Auto1.6
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 6.1
3356
#51DQ
10.51.4
8.57.1
Auto0.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
5418
#38
11.80.5
7.78.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 3.0
5146
#45
8.81.4
9.27.8
Auto1.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0