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Red34
12023.2
131718.7
6321.2
Blue118
381428.4
63922.5
412117.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4740020608010034118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#19
23.20.9
16.215.3
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3814
#10
28.46.3
9.415.6
Auto0.9
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
63
#29
21.20.7
18.718.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
639
#23
22.53.8
22.326.0
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
1317
#35
18.71.2
13.112.0
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.4
4121
#22
17.36.3
11.217.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop17.8
End0.0