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Red70
15625.8
359111.5
566711.1
Blue32
6321.2
264115.7
217213.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405301001502002507032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#15
25.81.3
24.525.8
Auto1.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 4.6
63
#29
21.21.1
21.820.7
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
3591
#43
11.51.3
10.211.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2641
#32
15.71.1
16.715.7
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
5667
#48
11.11.9
9.211.1
Auto1.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
2172
#44
13.31.5
14.813.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0