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Qual 782015 Buckeye Regional
Red12
416510.9
541811.8
130813.3
Blue6
239919.1
50777.2
67714.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43420206080100126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1308
#36
13.32.2
15.5→13.3
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 5.8
2399
#28
19.12.0
18.9→16.9
Auto1.2
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
5418
#38
11.82.2
14.0→11.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 2.6
677
#37
14.42.9
17.3→14.4
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
4165
#50
10.92.2
13.1→10.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 3.7
5077
#55
7.22.9
10.1→7.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.6
End0.0