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Red106
408539.6
301024.9
335610.5
Blue173
414535.0
381428.4
37958.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561080150200250106173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.62.9
36.139.0
Auto1.4
Teleop38.2
End0.0
blue by 18.8
379
#1
58.43.5
51.454.9
Auto0.5
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
3010
#17
24.92.9
22.525.4
Auto0.0
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 10.1
35.05.0
29.934.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Third
3356
#51
10.52.9
7.610.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 17.9
3814
#10
28.45.0
22.327.3
Auto0.9
Teleop27.5
End0.0