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Red82
351120.2
225232.3
51468.8
Blue52
3067.3
131718.7
265530.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554204060801008252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#20
32.31.3
30.031.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.2
End0.0
red by 1.6
30.60.3
30.430.2
Auto0.9
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
3511
#13
20.21.3
19.320.6
Auto0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 1.6
1317
#35
18.70.4
19.018.7
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5146
#45
8.81.9
6.98.8
Auto1.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
red by 1.4
306
#33
7.30.3
7.67.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.7
End0.0