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Red65
461118.5
460110.8
178718.4
Blue74
319320.3
499123.7
52497.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433902060806574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
#34
18.51.5
17.418.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4991
#21
23.71.7
22.023.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
1787
#31
18.41.5
16.918.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3193
#54
20.32.4
13.215.6
Auto0.9
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
4601
#39
10.81.0
9.810.8
Auto0.6
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 2.9
5249
#42
7.92.4
5.57.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.2
End0.0