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Red128
69528.6
45113.9
4850.0
Blue109
12023.2
326030.8
69434.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81794060100120128109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#4
50.02.3
45.147.4
Auto0.6
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 15.4
694
#18
34.61.3
32.433.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.9
End0.0
Second
695
#16
28.63.3
25.228.5
Auto0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 2.2
30.81.3
29.530.8
Auto0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Third
451
#27
13.92.3
11.613.9
Auto0.3
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 9.3
120
#19
23.21.3
22.023.2
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0