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Red36
332418.9
408547.7
1038B13.2
Blue110
359111.5
4269B22.4
541352.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758505015020025030035040036110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto1.8
Teleop45.9
End0.0
blue by 5.0
52.70.0
52.752.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Second
3324
#23
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto1.1
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 3.5
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.1
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto0.3
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
3591
#13
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0