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Red34
67714.4
46140.5
313824.3
Blue142
112643.8
414539.1
3138B12.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739505015020025030034142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#26
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto0.5
Teleop40.0
End0.0
blue by 3.3
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
3138
#15
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto1.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 14.8
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto0.5
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Third
677
#11
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 2.3
12.10.0
12.112.1
Auto0.8
Teleop11.4
End0.0