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Red207
452254.0
180673.4
93221.4
Blue194
129661.0
177547.4
350720.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144114050100200250207194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.41.0
71.972.9
Auto0.5
Teleop72.9
End0.0
red by 12.4
61.01.3
58.960.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop61.4
End0.0
Second
54.01.0
52.553.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
red by 6.6
47.41.3
45.346.6
Auto0.0
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Third
932
#28
21.41.0
19.820.9
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
3507
#45
20.51.3
18.319.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0