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Red138
452254.0
180673.4
93221.4
Blue162
129661.0
177547.4
350720.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147117050100200250138162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.40.2
72.972.8
Auto0.5
Teleop72.9
End0.0
red by 12.4
61.00.6
60.260.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop61.4
End0.0
Second
54.00.2
53.653.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
red by 6.6
47.40.6
46.647.2
Auto0.0
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Third
932
#28
21.40.2
20.920.7
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
3507
#45
20.50.6
19.620.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0