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Red185
452254.0
180673.4
93221.4
Blue143
129661.0
177547.4
350720.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146120050100200250300185143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.40.6
72.873.4
Auto0.5
Teleop72.9
End0.0
red by 12.4
61.00.2
60.861.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop61.4
End0.0
Second
54.00.6
53.454.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
red by 6.6
47.40.2
47.247.4
Auto0.0
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Third
932
#28
21.40.6
20.721.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
3507
#45
20.50.2
20.220.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0