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Red22
350720.5
238812.5
349815.6
Blue35
400514.8
324716.1
452319.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32260102040506070802235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3507
#45
20.50.5
10.19.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 1.3
4523
#14
19.10.6
8.08.7
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
3498
#24
15.60.8
11.110.3
Auto0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3247
#37
16.10.6
11.612.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
2388
#42
12.50.8
10.89.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4005
#30
14.80.6
8.08.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0