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Red8
23828.1
233324.7
31695.2
Blue1
175013.7
55504.0
379814.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262501020304050607081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.4
8.26.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 10.8
3798
#43
14.01.8
8.06.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Second
2382
#55
8.11.4
6.45.0
Auto0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
blue by 5.5
1750
#50
13.71.8
10.79.0
Auto0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
3169
#60
5.21.4
9.78.4
Auto0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0
red by 1.3
5550
#58
4.01.8
9.37.6
Auto0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0