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Red68
346524.3
495923.8
216535.7
Blue86
20046.5
129661.0
235213.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35720501001502002506886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.72.7
17.019.7
Auto0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
blue by 25.3
61.00.9
44.245.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop61.4
End0.0
Second
3465
#11
24.32.7
10.112.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 11.1
2352
#25
13.21.5
14.215.7
Auto0.0
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
23.82.0
14.716.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 17.3
2004
#44
6.51.5
10.111.5
Auto0.0
Teleop6.5
End0.0