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Red10
235922.8
276516.0
56113.4
Blue40
324716.1
237317.5
239815.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333001020405060701040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2359
#10
22.81.5
15.113.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 5.3
2373
#17
17.50.7
10.711.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
2765
#26
16.02.0
10.38.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 0.1
3247
#37
16.10.7
10.911.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
5611
#57
3.43.2
3.46.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0
blue by 11.8
2398
#39
15.20.7
9.810.5
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0