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Red52
234122.9
554811.8
156120.3
Blue16
379814.0
316010.2
31526.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4024060801001205216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#23
22.91.6
17.919.5
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 9.0
3798
#43
14.00.9
9.08.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Second
1561
#13
20.31.6
12.213.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 10.1
3160
#56
10.20.7
9.68.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
5548
#32
11.81.6
11.810.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 5.2
3152
#51
6.60.9
8.87.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0