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Red21
237317.5
20046.5
55504.0
Blue0
238812.5
429811.8
234122.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2537050100150200250210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2373
#17
17.50.6
9.08.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2341
#23
22.90.6
22.521.9
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
2004
#44
6.50.6
11.611.0
Auto0.0
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 6.0
2388
#42Sur
12.50.6
9.99.4
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
5550
#58
4.00.6
7.67.0
Auto0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 7.8
4298
#29
11.80.6
4.43.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0