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Red70
27237.4
216535.7
55788.8
Blue78
461211.6
400514.8
235922.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35321020405060707078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.72.9
17.520.3
Auto0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 12.8
2359
#10
22.82.8
17.220.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
5578
#52
8.82.9
8.511.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4005
#30
14.84.7
8.613.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
2723
#46
7.42.9
9.712.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 4.2
4612
#48
11.64.7
8.012.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0