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Red98
500619.3
23828.1
177547.4
Blue54
233324.7
31526.6
346524.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54270204060801001201409854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.42.3
27.129.4
Auto0.0
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 22.7
24.71.8
6.88.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
5006
#36
19.32.3
19.421.7
Auto0.2
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 5.1
3465
#11
24.31.8
15.817.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
2382
#55
8.13.9
5.08.9
Auto0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
3152
#51
6.61.8
9.511.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0