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Red9
29865.5
316314.4
500111.6
Blue104
180673.4
554811.8
235213.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20870501001502009104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3163
#41
14.41.8
9.37.5
Auto0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 59.0
73.41.2
55.756.9
Auto0.5
Teleop72.9
End0.0
Second
5001
#47
11.61.8
12.410.6
Auto0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 1.6
2352
#25
13.22.1
15.617.7
Auto0.0
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
2986
#61
5.51.8
9.17.3
Auto0.1
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 6.3
5548
#32
11.82.1
7.910.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0