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Red0
316010.2
242413.1
316314.4
Blue11
29508.5
235922.8
23828.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20440100150200011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3163
#41
14.40.1
7.57.5
Auto0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 8.5
2359
#10
22.81.3
20.018.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
2424
#53
13.10.1
8.28.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 4.5
2950
#59
8.51.3
13.312.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.7
End0.0
Third
3160
#56
10.20.0
8.98.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
2382
#55
8.12.1
8.96.8
Auto0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0