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Red30
400514.8
359330.8
562111.7
Blue56
31695.2
237317.5
129661.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496201002003004005003056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.4
26.324.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.8
End0.0
blue by 30.2
61.00.3
47.246.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop61.4
End0.0
Second
4005
#30
14.81.4
13.311.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2373
#17
17.50.5
8.47.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
5621
#40
11.71.4
13.111.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 6.5
3169
#60
5.20.5
7.06.4
Auto0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0