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Red163
495923.8
180673.4
349815.6
Blue45
239528.7
279518.1
31526.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions923505015020016345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.43.8
56.960.8
Auto0.5
Teleop72.9
End0.0
red by 44.7
2395
#16
28.70.0
23.223.2
Auto0.3
Teleop28.4
End0.0
Second
23.83.8
18.622.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 5.8
2795
#31
18.10.0
10.510.5
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
3498
#24
15.66.4
10.717.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 9.1
3152
#51
6.60.0
11.311.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0