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Red22
500111.6
239815.2
495923.8
Blue23
350720.5
316010.2
55504.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4520060801001201402223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.0
22.421.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
3507
#45
20.50.1
10.610.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Second
2398
#39
15.21.7
9.67.9
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 4.9
3160
#56
10.20.1
8.98.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
5001
#47
11.61.7
10.68.8
Auto0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 7.7
5550
#58
4.00.2
5.65.4
Auto0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0