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Red136
237317.5
120925.5
177547.4
Blue82
279518.1
216535.7
23828.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6332020408010012014013682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.43.8
29.433.1
Auto0.0
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 11.7
35.73.6
20.924.5
Auto0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
1209
#20
25.53.8
23.427.2
Auto0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 7.4
2795
#31
18.13.6
10.514.2
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
2373
#17
17.56.3
7.814.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 9.4
2382
#55
8.13.6
6.810.4
Auto0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0