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Red10
500619.3
562111.7
461211.6
Blue70
29508.5
366018.0
180673.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33930501502001070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#36
19.31.7
22.020.3
Auto0.2
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 54.2
73.40.9
60.859.9
Auto0.5
Teleop72.9
End0.0
Second
5621
#40
11.72.8
11.78.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
3660
#19
18.01.4
13.311.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4612
#48
11.62.8
10.17.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 3.1
2950
#59
8.50.9
13.112.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.7
End0.0