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Red29
31526.6
393126.1
238812.5
Blue36
129661.0
57307.7
317213.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36710501001502002936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#15
26.10.7
22.521.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 34.9
61.01.6
46.945.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop61.4
End0.0
Second
2388
#42
12.51.2
9.17.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3172
#38
13.82.6
11.18.5
Auto0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
3152
#51
6.61.2
11.310.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5730
#54
7.72.6
9.77.1
Auto0.7
Teleop7.0
End0.0